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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
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BIRMINGHAM CITY
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams
A historical overview of Birmingham City's ELO scores.
A list of the top 15 Birmingham City sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1956 | Saturday, September 8, 1956 | 4100.20 |
| 1905 | Saturday, January 28, 1905 | 4092.91 |
| 1906 | Saturday, February 17, 1906 | 4066.59 |
| 1904 | Saturday, December 3, 1904 | 4064.76 |
| 1957 | Tuesday, January 1, 1957 | 4053.07 |
| 1959 | Wednesday, April 29, 1959 | 4043.94 |
| 1948 | Saturday, October 9, 1948 | 4025.83 |
| 1907 | Tuesday, January 1, 1907 | 4023.44 |
| 2004 | Saturday, March 6, 2004 | 4019.13 |
| 2011 | Sunday, February 27, 2011 | 4016.56 |
| 2003 | Saturday, October 25, 2003 | 4015.19 |
| 2010 | Sunday, February 7, 2010 | 4011.23 |
| 1955 | Saturday, December 3, 1955 | 4010.46 |
| 1932 | Saturday, October 8, 1932 | 4007.67 |
| 1960 | Wednesday, August 31, 1960 | 4005.61 |
A list of the worst 15 Birmingham City sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1991 | Saturday, January 19, 1991 | 3581.93 |
| 1990 | Saturday, December 29, 1990 | 3583.20 |
| 1910 | Saturday, December 3, 1910 | 3601.48 |
| 1989 | Saturday, April 8, 1989 | 3607.85 |
| 1994 | Tuesday, March 15, 1994 | 3621.96 |
| 1988 | Saturday, November 12, 1988 | 3626.13 |
| 1911 | Saturday, September 23, 1911 | 3626.14 |
| 1993 | Saturday, March 13, 1993 | 3633.01 |
| 1992 | Saturday, December 12, 1992 | 3643.86 |
| 1912 | Monday, January 22, 1912 | 3646.87 |
| 1909 | Tuesday, December 28, 1909 | 3671.11 |
| 2017 | Tuesday, December 26, 2017 | 3688.13 |
| 2018 | Saturday, March 10, 2018 | 3696.52 |
| 1970 | Saturday, December 5, 1970 | 3699.62 |
| 2021 | Saturday, March 13, 2021 | 3701.35 |
A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Birmingham City's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham City (3828) vs. Liverpool (4152) Wednesday, April 22, 1964 |
-220.5 | 21.9% | 3-1 | +23.4 |
| Birmingham City (3955) vs. Chelsea (4277) Saturday, November 20, 2010 |
-276.9 | 16.9% | 1-0 | +16.6 |
| Birmingham City (3970) vs. Arsenal (4290) Sunday, May 15, 2005 |
-260.5 | 18.2% | 2-1 | +16.4 |
| Birmingham City (3666) vs. Chelsea (3973) Saturday, March 18, 1911 |
-181.4 | 26.0% | 2-1 | +14.8 |
| Birmingham City (3728) vs. Fulham (4029) Sunday, May 6, 2018 |
-262.7 | 18.1% | 3-1 | +24.6 |
| Birmingham City (3626) vs. Derby County (3927) Saturday, February 18, 1911 |
-175.1 | 26.7% | 2-0 | +22.0 |
| Birmingham City (3900) vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers (4182) Saturday, March 11, 1939 |
-151.4 | 29.5% | 3-2 | +14.1 |
| Birmingham City (3884) vs. Liverpool (4138) Sunday, February 23, 2003 |
-190.3 | 25.1% | 2-1 | +15.0 |
| Birmingham City (3923) vs. Arsenal (4178) Saturday, February 9, 1935 |
-123.3 | 33.0% | 3-0 | +23.5 |
| Birmingham City (3912) vs. Liverpool (4166) Saturday, August 28, 1976 |
-149.7 | 29.7% | 2-1 | +14.1 |
| Birmingham City (3841) vs. Arsenal (4093) Saturday, February 4, 1950 |
-157.6 | 28.8% | 2-1 | +14.2 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers (4130) vs. Birmingham City (3882) Saturday, January 9, 1954 |
-353.3 | 11.6% | 1-2 | +17.7 |
| Manchester United (4110) vs. Birmingham City (3863) Friday, April 7, 1950 |
-341.4 | 12.3% | 0-2 | +26.3 |
| Birmingham City (3652) vs. Leicester City (3898) Saturday, March 19, 1910 |
-121.9 | 33.1% | 2-1 | +13.4 |
| Birmingham City (3650) vs. Hull City (3896) Tuesday, December 26, 1911 |
-121.2 | 33.2% | 5-1 | +25.0 |
| Derby County (3897) vs. Birmingham City (3659) Wednesday, February 21, 1912 |
-362.6 | 11.0% | 0-1 | +17.8 |
| Birmingham City (3729) vs. Brentford (3966) Saturday, September 12, 2020 |
-197.6 | 24.3% | 1-0 | +15.1 |
| Birmingham City (3609) vs. Blackburn Rovers (3845) Saturday, April 22, 1989 |
-155.6 | 29.0% | 2-0 | +21.3 |
| Birmingham City (3903) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (4139) Saturday, March 1, 2008 |
-186.8 | 25.4% | 4-1 | +26.1 |
| Chelsea (3922) vs. Birmingham City (3687) Saturday, March 16, 1912 |
-359.4 | 11.2% | 0-2 | +26.6 |
A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Birmingham City's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe Alexandra (3441) vs. Birmingham City (3966) Wednesday, September 11, 1974 |
+423.8 | 92.0% | 2-1 | -18.4 |
| York City (3538) vs. Birmingham City (3962) Wednesday, January 8, 1958 |
+317.9 | 86.2% | 3-0 | -30.2 |
| Blackpool (3601) vs. Birmingham City (4007) Tuesday, September 23, 2003 |
+346.9 | 88.0% | 1-0 | -8.8 |
| Birmingham City (4093) vs. Portsmouth (3690) Saturday, February 4, 1905 |
+536.1 | 95.6% | 0-2 | -28.7 |
| Birmingham City (3982) vs. Notts County (3591) Saturday, January 10, 1948 |
+502.6 | 94.8% | 0-2 | -28.4 |
| Birmingham City (3836) vs. Altrincham (3446) Tuesday, January 14, 1986 |
+479.6 | 94.1% | 1-2 | -18.8 |
| Watford (3561) vs. Birmingham City (3946) Saturday, January 9, 1960 |
+281.9 | 83.5% | 2-1 | -16.7 |
| Gainsborough Trinity (3614) vs. Birmingham City (3982) Saturday, October 18, 1902 |
+230.7 | 79.0% | 1-0 | -15.8 |
| Birmingham City (3916) vs. Leyton Orient (3576) Saturday, February 2, 1952 |
+435.7 | 92.5% | 0-1 | -18.5 |
| Huddersfield Town (3607) vs. Birmingham City (3911) Saturday, January 5, 2008 |
+254.2 | 81.2% | 2-1 | -8.1 |
| Birmingham City (3738) vs. Cambridge United (3439) Saturday, September 5, 2020 |
+338.1 | 87.5% | 0-1 | -8.8 |
| Doncaster Rovers (3706) vs. Birmingham City (3994) Saturday, December 13, 1902 |
+150.3 | 70.4% | 1-0 | -14.1 |
| Swansea Town (3685) vs. Birmingham City (3973) Thursday, December 26, 1946 |
+162.9 | 71.9% | 1-0 | -14.4 |
| Chesterfield (3614) vs. Birmingham City (3899) Saturday, December 12, 1908 |
+160.5 | 71.6% | 4-2 | -21.5 |
| Birmingham City (3944) vs. Oldham Athletic (3660) Tuesday, March 5, 1985 |
+376.8 | 89.7% | 0-1 | -17.9 |
| Leicester City (3605) vs. Birmingham City (3888) Thursday, December 25, 1919 |
+162.8 | 71.9% | 1-0 | -14.4 |
| Swindon Town (3592) vs. Birmingham City (3858) Monday, September 25, 1961 |
+161.9 | 71.8% | 2-0 | -21.5 |
| Luton Town (3630) vs. Birmingham City (3894) Saturday, January 8, 1921 |
+147.4 | 70.0% | 2-1 | -14.0 |
| Burnley (3733) vs. Birmingham City (3993) Saturday, September 20, 1902 |
+122.1 | 66.9% | 2-1 | -13.4 |
| AFC Bournemouth (3536) vs. Birmingham City (3793) Tuesday, February 21, 1995 |
+187.2 | 74.6% | 2-1 | -14.9 |
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The twenty teams that Birmingham City are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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The twenty teams that Birmingham City are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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